{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"\u84dd\u6e56\u8d44\u672c","provider_url":"https:\/\/www.bluelakecap.com\/en","author_name":"Kelvin","author_url":"https:\/\/www.bluelakecap.com\/en\/author\/kelvin","title":"\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u8ba4\u77e5\u548c\u521b\u4e1a\u7684\u6c99\u6f20\u5bfb\u5b9d \u2014\u2014 \u5199\u57282018\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u51e0\u70b9\u611f\u609f - \u84dd\u6e56\u8d44\u672c","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Dj18ACwWa2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bluelakecap.com\/en\/news\/lakeside-chat\/2763.html\">\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u8ba4\u77e5\u548c\u521b\u4e1a\u7684\u6c99\u6f20\u5bfb\u5b9d \u2014\u2014 \u5199\u57282018\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u51e0\u70b9\u611f\u609f<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bluelakecap.com\/en\/news\/lakeside-chat\/2763.html\/embed#?secret=Dj18ACwWa2\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u8ba4\u77e5\u548c\u521b\u4e1a\u7684\u6c99\u6f20\u5bfb\u5b9d \u2014\u2014 \u5199\u57282018\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u51e0\u70b9\u611f\u609f&#8221; &#8212; \u84dd\u6e56\u8d44\u672c\" data-secret=\"Dj18ACwWa2\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n\/* <![CDATA[ *\/\n\/*! This file is auto-generated *\/\n!function(d,l){\"use strict\";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&\"undefined\"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),c=new RegExp(\"^https?:$\",\"i\"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display=\"none\";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):\"link\"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute(\"src\")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener(\"message\",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",function(){for(var 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\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7126\u8651\u611f\u4fbf\u5f00\u59cb\u9010\u6e10\u589e\u5f3a\u3002\u60ed\u6127\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u535a\u5ba2\u4e5f\u8d8a\u5199\u8d8a\u5c11\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u505c\u6ede\u4e86\u3002\u8d81\u7740\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u575a\u6301\u591a\u5199\u5199\u3002 \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u8ba4\u77e5\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u4e66\u91cc\u548c\u8eab\u8fb9\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u70b9\u542f\u53d1 \u201cThe problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts, while the stupid ones are full of confidence.\u201d\uff08\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\u806a\u660e\u7684\u4eba\u6ee1\u6000\u7591\u60d1\uff0c\u800c\u50bb\u74dc\u4eec\u5374\u6ee1\u6000\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\uff09 \u8fd9\u662f\u4ece\u4e00\u4f4d\u521b\u4e1a\u8005\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u5708\u770b\u5230\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4e5f\u57fa\u672c\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u5019\u65e9\u671f\u521b\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u7ea0\u7ed3\u548c\u7126\u8651\u6240\u5728\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6210\u529f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u806a\u660e\u548c\u50bb\u5c31\u5012\u4e86\u8fc7\u6765\u3002\u9519\u8fc7\u7684\u4eba\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u50bb\u74dc\uff0c\u81ea\u4fe1\u7684\u50bb\u74dc\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u5927\u5e08\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u56f0\u6270\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u6765\u4e86\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u505a\u806a\u660e\u4eba\u8fd8\u662f\u50bb\u74dc\uff1f \u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u4ece\u96f7.\u8fbe\u91cc\u5965\uff08Ray Dalio\uff09\u7684\u4e66\u300a\u539f\u5219\u300b\uff08Principles\uff09\u91cc\u9762\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u51e0\u5e74\u524d\u5728\u6865\u6c34\u8054\u5408\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Bridgewater Associates\uff09\u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u770b\u8fc7\u4ed6\u5199\u7684 PDF \u7248\u672c\uff0c\u6709\u70b9\u610f\u72b9\u672a\u5c3d\u3002\u8fd9\u6b21\u7ec8\u4e8e\u7b49\u6765\u4e86\u5b8c\u6574\u7248\u3002\u4e66\u91cc\u9762\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5728\u6559\u6211\u4eec\u600e\u4e48\u5ba2\u89c2\u5730\u8ba4\u77e5\u81ea\u6211\uff0c\u5e76\u57fa\u4e8e\u6b64\u8bbe\u5b9a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u8fd9\u5957\u65b9\u6cd5\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u4e3a\u4eba\u5904\u4e16\uff0c\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u521b\u4e1a\u3002 \u73af\u987e\u56db\u5468\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e5f\u662f\u5f88\u591a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u548c\u521b\u4e1a\u8005\u5171\u540c\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u81ea\u6211\u548c\u73af\u5883\u5ba2\u89c2\u4e14\u8bda\u5b9e\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u4e00\u5957\u6709\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u6253\u6cd5\u3002\u66fe\u7ecf\u6709\u5e78\u5171\u4eab\u4e00\u4e2a\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u9ad8\u6bc5\u8d44\u4ea7\u9996\u5e2d\u6295\u8d44\u5b98\u9093\u6653\u5cf0\u5148\u751f\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u300a\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6295\u8d44\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u300b\uff0c\u4e5f\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c06\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6848\u4f8b\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u4e00\u904d\u3002\u4ed6\u4e00\u518d\u5f3a\u8c03\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u9996\u5148\u8981\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u81ea\u5df1\u9002\u5408\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u505a\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u867d\u7136\u8eab\u8fb9\u548c\u884c\u4e1a\u5185\u4e0d\u4e4f\u5149\u8f89\u7684\u699c\u6837\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u575a\u6301\u505a\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u670b\u53cb\uff08\u8d85\u957f\u671f\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\uff09\u7684\u9ad8\u74f4\u8d44\u672c\u4e3b\u5f20\u201c\u5f31\u6c34\u4e09\u5343\uff0c\u4f46\u53d6\u4e00\u74e2\u201d\uff1bUnion Square Ventures \u4ece 2004 \u5e74\u521b\u7acb\u4e4b\u521d\u5c31\u575a\u6301\u6295\u8d44\u7f51\u7edc\u6548\u5e94\u7b49\u7b49\u3002 \u4f46\u201c\u7528\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u505a\u6295\u8d44\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u5374\u65e0\u6cd5\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u62ff\u6765\u7167\u642c\u3002 \u501f\u7528\u9093\u6653\u5cf0\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u548c\u6211\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u7ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5404\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u6211\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u4e00\u9875 PPT\uff0c\u65f6\u4e0d\u65f6\u8fd8\u4f1a\u62ff\u51fa\u6765\u770b\u770b\uff0c\u53cd\u601d\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u4fdd\u6301\u5bf9\u201c\u6211\u662f\u8c01\uff0c\u6211\u64c5\u957f\u4ec0\u4e48\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u656c\u754f\u611f\uff0c\u5e76\u6301\u7eed\u5730\u505a\u51fa\u4fee\u6b63\u3002 \u5e0c\u671b 2018 \u5e74\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u7ee7\u7eed\u5728\u4fee\u70bc\u7684\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u6709\u6240\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u7126\u8651\u611f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5766\u7136\u3002 \u597d\u4e86\uff0c\u8bf4\u4e86\u534a\u5929\u7684\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4e5f\u6765\u6362\u4e2a\u9891\u9053\u8c08\u8c08\u521b\u4e1a\u30022018 \u5e74\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u5728\u54ea\u91cc\uff1f\u84dd\u6e56\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u628a\u7814\u7a76\u653e\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u575a\u4fe1\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u4f1a\u53d8\u5316\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u548c\u4e4b\u524d\u7684 10 \u5e74\u4f1a\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff1a\u719f\u6089\u7684\u8d5b\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u53d8\u6210\u521b\u4e1a\u6c99\u6f20\uff0c\u8fb9\u7f18\u7684\u6c99\u6f20\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d8\u6210\u5bcc\u9976\u7684\u91d1\u77ff\u3002 \u6c99\u6f20\u5bfb\u5b9d\u2014\u2014\u8ba4\u6e05\u521b\u4e1a\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e \u6c99\u6f20\u5bfb\u5b9d\uff1f\u4f60\u8bf4\u7684\u662f\u79d1\u6280\u7c7b\u521b\u4e1a\u5417\uff1f\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u6211\u8bf4\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u5b9e\u5374\u504f\u504f\u5982\u6b64\u3002 2007 \u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u505a VC [&hellip;]"}